Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.395664 0.456305 0.522173 0.598909 0.685720 0.780749 0.892518
2025-10-12 0.307600 0.394407 0.497798 0.629394 0.791745 0.984748 1.230765
2025-10-19 0.252462 0.350379 0.475228 0.644716 0.867219 1.147586 1.525558
2025-10-26 0.212011 0.314463 0.452724 0.650647 0.923942 1.284811 1.793485
2025-11-02 0.179859 0.283053 0.429492 0.649096 0.965906 1.401393 2.038999
2025-11-09 0.152768 0.253971 0.404378 0.639697 0.992881 1.496164 2.258336
2025-11-16 0.131125 0.229474 0.382061 0.630312 1.016643 1.585461 2.473521
2025-11-23 0.110987 0.204171 0.354882 0.609452 1.019507 1.642200 2.642589
2025-11-30 0.104686 0.200822 0.361803 0.642311 1.107154 1.831126 3.021638
2025-12-07 0.090482 0.181655 0.340160 0.625728 1.113493 1.893805 3.208883
2025-12-14 0.078167 0.164082 0.319005 0.607278 1.114196 1.946190 3.381511
2025-12-21 0.068424 0.149923 0.302112 0.594130 1.121941 2.009331 3.574048
2025-12-28 0.063340 0.144390 0.300686 0.609115 1.180681 2.162765 3.928842
2026-01-04 0.060512 0.143102 0.307165 0.639367 1.269178 2.372946 4.393495
2026-01-11 0.056277 0.138221 0.306027 0.654853 1.331655 2.541702 4.796855
2026-01-18 0.051536 0.131519 0.300412 0.660864 1.376539 2.681709 5.157638
2026-01-25 0.046636 0.123708 0.291544 0.659290 1.406381 2.795840 5.478134
2026-02-01 0.041630 0.114874 0.279448 0.649758 1.419592 2.879737 5.748034
2026-02-08 0.037212 0.106775 0.267970 0.640239 1.431719 2.961785 6.018490
2026-02-15 0.032494 0.097150 0.251892 0.619081 1.418141 2.993522 6.195740
2026-02-22 0.031844 0.098052 0.260193 0.652409 1.520063 3.254487 6.823053
2026-03-01 0.028161 0.090197 0.246852 0.635589 1.514414 3.303422 7.043432
2026-03-08 0.024796 0.082650 0.233321 0.616877 1.502929 3.339490 7.239882